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Preliminary Commercial Due Diligence

Market Analysis

  • Market Sizing and Growth: Assesses the size of the opportunity, growth rates, etc.

  • Market Structure, Dynamics and Trends: Analyses how the market is structured, the dynamics at play, and how trends are shaping the market.

  • Macro Trends and Key External Drivers: Evaluates external economic, regulatory, or technological factors that could impact the investment.

Competitive Landscape, USP and Value Proposition

  • Competitive Analysis: Identifies key competitors and analyses the company's competitive position.

  • USP: Tests the strength of the USP vis-a-vis the competition.

  • Value Proposition: Analyses the clear benefit of the product or service for the customer.

Strategic Risk, Growth and Forecast Validation

  • Risk Identification: Uncovers risks and "red flags" that could negatively impact the company's valuation or future operational success.

  • Growth Validation: Identifies value-creation levers, such as expansion into adjacent segments or new geographical markets.

  • Forecast Validation: Critiques the target company's business plan to ensure projected revenues and growth are realistically achievable.

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Project examples of 'preliminary commercial due diligence'

  • Request: Test the growth hypothesis behind a proposed investment in a European B2B SaaS company ahead of a full commercial due diligence engagement.

  • Output: An analysis of the target's market, competitive position and USP, plus a critique of its revenue forecast against observed market growth rates.

  • Client impact: The client, a growth equity investor, used the analysis to negotiate a lower entry valuation before commissioning full due diligence, based on flagged risks in the original forecast.

  • Request: Evaluate the competitive position and risk profile of a target logistics company ahead of a proposed acquisition.

  • Output: A preliminary assessment covering the target's competitive landscape, key risks, and the credibility of its growth forecast.

  • Client impact: The client, an infrastructure fund, used the findings to justify commissioning a full commercial due diligence report from a specialised vendor, with a narrower scope focused on the flagged risk areas.

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